Tropical Storm Gabrielle: Predictions, Trajectory, and Spaghetti Models. How Will It Affect Sarasota and Bradenton?

Tropical Storm Gabrielle is currently facing challenges that are limiting its development, as reported early Thursday morning, Sept. 18, by the National Hurricane Center. Increased wind shear and dry air conditions are hampering its strengthening; however, forecasts suggest a shift in these factors may occur over the weekend or early next week.

Gabrielle is poised to strengthen into a hurricane but is expected to stay clear of Florida and the United States. Marking its position as the seventh named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season, Gabrielle will be classified as a hurricane when its maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph.

Here’s what you should know.

Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Gabrielle. Where will it go?

Special note about spaghetti models: These models encompass a variety of forecasting tools, and not all are equally reliable. The Hurricane Center utilizes the top-performing models for its forecasts.

Gabrielle is anticipated to strengthen into a hurricane late this weekend or early next week, according to the National Hurricane Center. Residents in Bermuda are advised to keep an eye on the storm.

Indirect impacts, such as rough surf or rip currents, may extend to parts of the northeastern Caribbean and Florida, according to AccuWeather. Currently, no watches or warnings have been issued for Gabrielle.

Stay Prepared with Hurricane Supplies

With potential storms, Florida officials regularly encourage residents to prepare by acquiring necessary supplies. Notably, recent legislation has made various hurricane supplies permanently tax-free, which includes essentials from batteries to generators.

If you lack a hurricane supply kit, refer to this guide: Don’t have a hurricane supply kit? From the basics to the extras, here’s what you need.

What’s Next?

Expect updates on tropical weather coverage daily. It’s recommended to download your local site’s app to stay informed. Check for our special subscription offers here.

This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Track the tropics, Tropical Storm Gabrielle. Will Sarasota see impact?

Key Information

• Current Status: Struggling to strengthen due to wind shear and dry air.
• Expected Strength: Likely to become a hurricane by late weekend or early next week.
• Location: Expected to stay away from Florida and the U.S., with possible impacts on Bermuda.
• Current Warnings: No watches or warnings issued as of now.